Metabolic tumor burden predicts prognosis of ovarian cancer patients who receive platinum-based adjuvant chemotherapy.

Volumetric parameters of positron emission tomography-computed tomography using 18F-fludeoxyglucose ((18) F-FDG PET/CT) that comprehensively reflect both metabolic activity and tumor burden are capable of predicting survival in several cancers. The aim of this study was to investigate the predictive performance of metabolic tumor burden measured by (18) F-FDG PET/CT in ovarian cancer patients who received platinum-based adjuvant chemotherapy after cytoreductive surgery. Included in this study were 37 epithelial ovarian cancer patients. Metabolic tumor burden in terms of metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG), clinical stage, histological type, residual tumor after primary cytoreductive surgery, baseline serum carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) level, and the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax ) were determined, and compared for their performance in predicting progression-free survival (PFS). Metabolic tumor volume correlated with CA125 (r = 0.547, P < 0.001), and TLG correlated with SUVmax and CA125 (SUVmax , r = 0.437, P = 0.007; CA125, r = 0.593, P < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a significant difference in PFS between the groups categorized by TLG (P = 0.043; log-rank test). Univariate analysis indicated that TLG was a statistically significant risk factor for poor PFS. Multivariate analysis adjusted according to the clinicopathological features was carried out for MTV, TLG, SUVmax , tumor size, and CA125. Only TLG showed a significant difference (P = 0.038), and a 3.915-fold increase in the hazard ratio of PFS. Both MTV and TLG (especially TLG) could serve as potential surrogate biomarkers for recurrence in patients who undergo primary cytoreductive surgery followed by platinum-based chemotherapy, and could identify patients at high risk of recurrence who need more aggressive treatment.